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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+7.90vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.96+8.81vs Predicted
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33.69+4.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+3.23vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+3.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+3.59vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37+1.78vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.92vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-0.25vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82+0.23vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.07-1.53vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-2.04vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.14-4.56vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.33-1.90vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.97-5.38vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.20-7.32vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.93-11.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.81Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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7.653.690.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.79Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.59University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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8.78College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.47Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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10.96Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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13.1Jacksonville University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.68Boston College3.200.0%1st Place
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6.28Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Jack McGraw | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| JC Hermus | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Charles Miller | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Andre Guaragna | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 24.5% |
| Christian Filter | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.