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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.16+8.50vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+3.63vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.07+2.31vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+3.31vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.26+3.16vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.01+3.24vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+2.88vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+1.36vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.48+1.81vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.80-3.86vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.71-4.76vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.12+0.62vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.57-6.07vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.73-4.66vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.96vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.96-0.46vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.54vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College-0.13-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5University of Pennsylvania1.163.6%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University2.1713.2%1st Place
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5.31Stanford University2.0713.7%1st Place
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7.31Old Dominion University1.528.8%1st Place
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8.16College of Charleston1.265.3%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University1.014.2%1st Place
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9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.3%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.0%1st Place
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10.81Jacksonville University0.483.1%1st Place
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6.14Georgetown University1.8010.5%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College1.719.4%1st Place
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12.62University of Rhode Island0.121.9%1st Place
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6.93Yale University1.578.1%1st Place
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9.34Clemson University0.734.6%1st Place
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12.04Christopher Newport University-0.841.8%1st Place
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15.54University of Michigan-0.960.6%1st Place
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13.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.2%1st Place
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13.48Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Lina Carper | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Emily Doble | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 8.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 6.8% |
| Callie Davis | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 44.8% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 14.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.