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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.70+2.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.33+2.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.98vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.17vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.24+2.13vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.23+1.18vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.01-2.01vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-0.37vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+2.40vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.55+1.55vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University1.95-3.07vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.61-3.03vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.68-1.61vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.32-1.76vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.21-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.16Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.98U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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7.13SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.18George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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7.63Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.4Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.55Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.93Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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8.97Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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13.24William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.19Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Stagg | 22.8% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 14.8% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 18.8% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 11.6% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| Edward Doran | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 12.6% |
| Paul Stevens | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 10.5% |
| Efe Brock | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 43.7% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 23.7% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.