← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.72+6.56vs Predicted
-
23.69+5.56vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+6.74vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.78vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.84vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.39+2.73vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.14+2.80vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.35+0.80vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+0.54vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.93-3.31vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.37-2.04vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.97-1.09vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.82-1.99vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College2.96-3.82vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.20-5.51vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College2.82-4.77vs Predicted
-
17Stanford University3.07-6.80vs Predicted
-
18Jacksonville University2.33-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.56Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.563.690.1%1st Place
-
9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.0%1st Place
-
9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
-
7.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.73Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.8Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
-
8.8Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.54University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.0%1st Place
-
6.69Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
8.96College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.91Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
11.01Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.18Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
-
9.49Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
11.23Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.2Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
-
12.97Jacksonville University2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| JC Hermus | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% |
| Charles Miller | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| William Logue | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Quinn Wilson | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Christian Filter | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.