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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.82+10.00vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+5.16vs Predicted
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33.69+4.34vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+7.60vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.54vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+2.55vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33+1.65vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.03vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-0.66vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.33+3.11vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-1.54vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-0.74vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-4.68vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.75-3.20vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-5.80vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.07-6.17vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.96-6.61vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.0Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.16Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.343.690.1%1st Place
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11.6Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.65Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.11Jacksonville University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.46Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.32College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.8Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.83Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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10.39Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| JC Hermus | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% |
| Charles Miller | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.4% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| William Logue | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Andre Guaragna | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 23.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Matt Safford | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.