← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
13.69+6.19vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.46+6.11vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.61vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.35+4.26vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.93vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.40vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.72-0.16vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.39+0.16vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.61+2.54vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.90+0.53vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.33-2.42vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.23-2.72vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.96-3.13vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.82-3.69vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-6.04vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University2.46-3.81vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.75-5.96vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College1.85-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.193.690.1%1st Place
-
8.11Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
-
9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
-
8.26Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
7.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
6.84Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.16Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
11.54Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.53Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.58Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
9.28College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.87Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
-
10.31Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
-
12.19Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
-
11.04Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
-
14.19Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Charles Miller | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| William Logue | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Jack Brown | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Telmo Basterra | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 14.4% |
| Matt Safford | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.