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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+6.91vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.46+6.40vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+8.29vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+2.28vs Predicted
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53.69+2.23vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.90+4.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14+2.59vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39+0.42vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-1.96vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.37-1.13vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-1.60vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.87vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-2.20vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.63-2.56vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.75-3.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-4.54vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.35-8.19vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.53-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.4Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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11.29Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.28Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.233.690.1%1st Place
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10.7Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.42Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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10.8Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.44Dartmouth College2.630.0%1st Place
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11.25Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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8.81Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.99Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 8.6% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| William Logue | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Paige Clarke | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% |
| Matt Safford | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% |
| David Eastwood | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 12.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Jack Gower | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.