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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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13.69+6.50vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.46+6.45vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+8.25vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+4.54vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+2.71vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72+0.15vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.63+3.65vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-0.55vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.14-0.16vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82+0.14vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.93-5.39vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.53-1.02vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-5.02vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.75-3.73vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.90-5.32vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-5.40vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53.690.1%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.71Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.65Dartmouth College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.14Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.61Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.98Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.27Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.68Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| Charles Miller | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Paige Clarke | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% |
| William Logue | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Gower | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Matt Safford | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% |
| David Eastwood | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.