← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.93+5.67vs Predicted
-
23.69+5.61vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.14+6.99vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.68vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.63+6.81vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.45vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.46+1.33vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.82+3.05vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.30vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.35-0.94vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.82+0.28vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.97-1.09vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston3.37-4.43vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-2.79vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.20-5.56vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University2.53-3.60vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.72-9.59vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University3.39-9.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.67Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.613.690.1%1st Place
-
9.99Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
-
9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
-
11.81Dartmouth College2.630.0%1st Place
-
9.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
8.33Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
-
11.05Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
9.06Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
11.28Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.91Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
8.57College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
11.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.44Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.4Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
-
7.41Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.44Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| Paige Clarke | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Charles Miller | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% |
| Christian Filter | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| David Eastwood | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Jack Gower | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 17.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| William Logue | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.