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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+9.06vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+4.50vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+5.89vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.74vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+5.39vs Predicted
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63.69+1.41vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35+1.86vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.63+3.82vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-0.27vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.53+2.56vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82+0.27vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.46-3.29vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.14-3.41vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-4.82vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-5.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-4.37vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.72-9.59vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.82-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.89Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.39Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.413.690.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.82Dartmouth College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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12.56Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.27Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.71Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.18Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.96Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| William Logue | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Charles Miller | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| Christian Filter | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| JC Hermus | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| Paige Clarke | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Jack Gower | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 19.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| David Eastwood | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.