← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.14+8.83vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+8.74vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.35+5.97vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.23+5.09vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.93+1.32vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.69+1.32vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.88+7.40vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.82+2.91vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.82+1.95vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-2.06vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University3.39-2.36vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.72-4.45vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.97-2.87vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University3.46-6.04vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.20-5.68vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-6.54vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-7.10vs Predicted
-
18Dartmouth College2.63-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.83Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
-
10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
-
8.97Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.09College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.32Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.32Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
14.4Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
-
10.91Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.95Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.64Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.55Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.13Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
7.96Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
-
9.32Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.46University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.0%1st Place
-
9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
11.57Dartmouth College2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Jack Brown | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.1% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| JC Hermus | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 39.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Charles Miller | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| William Logue | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Christian Filter | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Paige Clarke | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.