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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.57+5.81vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+4.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+2.71vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+6.09vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.48+6.18vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.16+3.18vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.01+2.13vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.52-0.80vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.07-3.78vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.12+2.33vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.84+1.21vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.80-5.88vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.26-4.89vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-0.37vs Predicted
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15Clemson University0.73-5.83vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-6.68vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College-0.13-3.35vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.96-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Yale University1.577.6%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College1.7110.5%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.1712.3%1st Place
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10.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.2%1st Place
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11.18Jacksonville University0.482.8%1st Place
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9.18University of Pennsylvania1.164.2%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University1.014.2%1st Place
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7.2Old Dominion University1.527.4%1st Place
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5.22Stanford University2.0714.2%1st Place
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12.33University of Rhode Island0.121.8%1st Place
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12.21Christopher Newport University-0.842.5%1st Place
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6.12Georgetown University1.809.2%1st Place
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8.11College of Charleston1.266.0%1st Place
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13.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
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9.17Clemson University0.734.7%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.005.0%1st Place
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13.65Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
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15.67University of Michigan-0.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Marina Conde | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 7.6% |
| Laura Smith | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 6.1% |
| Emily Doble | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 14.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| Callie Davis | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.