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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.70+2.46vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.24+4.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.44+0.01vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.06vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.23+1.20vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University1.95+0.87vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.55+3.53vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-1.37vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.01-4.84vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.61-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.68-0.56vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.60-1.44vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.21-1.76vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.32-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.98SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University3.440.2%1st Place
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3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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7.2George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.87Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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11.53Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.63Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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8.84Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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11.56Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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12.24Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.17William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Stagg | 22.2% | 21.4% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| George Prieto | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gowell | 18.1% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Edward Doran | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 11.9% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 10.2% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 11.8% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 21.7% |
| Efe Brock | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 20.0% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.