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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+6.53vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+7.51vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46+5.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+5.25vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.82+5.85vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+2.58vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.66vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20+1.31vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-2.78vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.14-0.14vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-2.11vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-3.39vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.88+0.12vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.63-3.27vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-4.93vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.97-6.49vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.72-11.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.51College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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10.85Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.58Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.89Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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14.12Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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11.73Dartmouth College2.630.0%1st Place
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11.07Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.51Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Brown | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% |
| William Logue | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Charles Miller | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Lewis Cooper | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 36.2% |
| Paige Clarke | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Christian Filter | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.