← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.20+3.21vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.48vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.53+2.64vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79+1.12vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.77-1.75vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-0.32vs Predicted
-
7Queen's University1.19-0.75vs Predicted
-
8University of Rochester0.95-1.03vs Predicted
-
9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+0.94vs Predicted
-
10University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.13vs Predicted
-
11Colgate University-0.36-1.14vs Predicted
-
12Syracuse University-1.01-0.96vs Predicted
-
13Mercyhurst University-2.33-0.22vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University-2.41-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.21Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
-
2.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.4%1st Place
-
5.64Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
-
5.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.1%1st Place
-
3.25Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
-
5.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
-
6.25Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
-
6.97University of Rochester0.950.0%1st Place
-
9.94Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
-
8.87University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
-
9.86Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
-
11.04Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
12.78Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
-
12.89Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.4% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 35.8% | 23.7% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 19.6% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wallace | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKinney | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Stanley Galloway | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Reaman | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 7.8% | 1.4% |
| John Colby | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 19.8% | 26.2% | 18.6% | 6.7% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 30.7% | 43.6% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 31.2% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.