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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+8.36vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.07+3.11vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.80+3.17vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.01+5.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+1.21vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.57+1.04vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.26+0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.43vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.17-3.31vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12+1.36vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.52-4.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+0.50vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.73-4.87vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.48-4.14vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.96-0.47vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College-0.13-3.31vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University-0.84-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.8%1st Place
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5.11Stanford University2.0713.4%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University1.809.9%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.014.8%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College1.7110.9%1st Place
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7.04Yale University1.577.8%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston1.265.3%1st Place
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9.43University of Pennsylvania1.164.9%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University2.1711.2%1st Place
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10.29St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.2%1st Place
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12.36University of Rhode Island0.122.2%1st Place
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7.35Old Dominion University1.527.5%1st Place
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13.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.5%1st Place
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9.13Clemson University0.734.6%1st Place
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10.86Jacksonville University0.482.9%1st Place
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15.53University of Michigan-0.960.4%1st Place
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13.69Connecticut College-0.131.5%1st Place
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12.12Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Slovensky | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Foley | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.4% |
| Marina Conde | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 15.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Callie Davis | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 43.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.