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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.88vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+1.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.44+0.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.09vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University1.95+2.87vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.24+1.14vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.23+0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.01-2.88vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.61-0.23vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.55+1.55vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.60+0.40vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.21-0.53vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-6.17vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.32-1.78vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland0.68-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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3.43Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University3.440.2%1st Place
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5.09U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.87Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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7.14SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.08George Washington University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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8.77Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.55Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.4Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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12.47Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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7.83Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.22William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 17.9% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 22.8% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gowell | 16.3% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Schoene | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Carroll | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 10.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Edward Doran | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 12.2% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 12.2% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 21.5% | 23.8% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Efe Brock | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 42.2% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.