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📊 Prediction Accuracy
92.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+4.62vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.51vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+0.15vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20+0.32vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.53+0.82vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.63vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.19-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.95-1.92vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-1.01+1.12vs Predicted
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11Colgate University-0.05-1.69vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-1.99vs Predicted
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13Mercyhurst University-2.33-0.19vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.41-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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2.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.3%1st Place
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3.15Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.32Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.82Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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5.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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6.48Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Rochester0.950.0%1st Place
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11.12Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.31Colgate University-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.01Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.81Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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12.9Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Krzeszowski | 6.2% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 32.8% | 26.7% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 21.9% | 23.3% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wallace | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKinney | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 30.4% | 19.8% | 6.6% |
| Patrick May | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Manney | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 34.3% | 42.8% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 28.9% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.