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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.70+2.28vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.24+4.76vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.87vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.44-1.08vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University1.95+1.73vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.06-0.62vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland0.68+1.16vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.23-3.98vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.32+1.34vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.21-0.73vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.61-6.39vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.55-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.76SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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3.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.92Georgetown University3.440.2%1st Place
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7.73Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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7.37Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Virginia2.060.0%1st Place
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11.33Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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7.02George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.34William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.27Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.61Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.33Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Stagg | 24.4% | 21.8% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 19.2% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gowell | 17.0% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mason Leon | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 11.4% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 9.7% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Efe Brock | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 21.5% | 44.3% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 22.4% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Edward Doran | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.