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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+4.62vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.80+4.12vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.16+6.41vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+3.09vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73+4.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.12+6.33vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.07-1.75vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+2.09vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.26-0.97vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.71-3.74vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.57-4.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-2.73vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.82vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-0.39vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.01-5.86vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.96-0.41vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.48-6.02vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College-0.13-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Harvard University2.1711.9%1st Place
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6.12Georgetown University1.8010.2%1st Place
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9.41University of Pennsylvania1.165.0%1st Place
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7.09Old Dominion University1.528.4%1st Place
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9.44Clemson University0.734.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Rhode Island0.121.9%1st Place
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5.25Stanford University2.0712.9%1st Place
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10.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.7%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston1.266.7%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College1.7110.4%1st Place
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6.9Yale University1.578.2%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.1%1st Place
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12.18Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
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13.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University1.014.4%1st Place
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15.59University of Michigan-0.960.8%1st Place
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10.98Jacksonville University0.482.8%1st Place
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13.69Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Marina Conde | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 7.6% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Foley | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 16.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Callie Davis | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 43.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.