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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.44+2.87vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+1.22vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.88vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.24+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia2.06+1.39vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University1.95+0.63vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.23-1.08vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-1.62vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.60+1.33vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.32+2.16vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.55-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.68-1.75vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.61-5.37vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.21-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Georgetown University3.440.2%1st Place
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3.22Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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3.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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4.88U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.92SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Virginia2.060.0%1st Place
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7.63Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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6.92George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.38Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.33Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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13.16William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.64Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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8.63Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.1Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gowell | 18.5% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 24.0% | 22.3% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 19.5% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 9.6% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mason Leon | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 10.4% |
| Efe Brock | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 44.4% |
| Edward Doran | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 12.1% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 10.4% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 21.5% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.