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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+4.65vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.07+3.32vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+4.11vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+2.15vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.57+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.16+3.43vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.80-0.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.01+1.40vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+4.61vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.26-1.82vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.84+1.27vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-1.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-3.41vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.73-4.62vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-2.68vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.82-6.38vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College-0.13-3.25vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.96-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Harvard University2.1713.8%1st Place
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5.32Stanford University2.0711.9%1st Place
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7.11Old Dominion University1.528.1%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College1.7110.5%1st Place
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7.17Yale University1.577.5%1st Place
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9.43University of Pennsylvania1.164.5%1st Place
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6.36Georgetown University1.809.2%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.015.4%1st Place
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13.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.9%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston1.265.8%1st Place
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12.27Christopher Newport University-0.841.2%1st Place
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10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.4%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.1%1st Place
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9.38Clemson University0.735.5%1st Place
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12.32University of Rhode Island0.121.8%1st Place
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9.62Jacksonville University0.824.5%1st Place
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13.75Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
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15.55University of Michigan-0.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Foley | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Emily Doble | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 15.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Laura Smith | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.5% |
| Lina Carper | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 7.4% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| Callie Davis | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.