Race 1A

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tarkan Bolat 14.1% 14.3% 12.2% 13.8% 13.7% 12.2% 11.5% 5.3% 2.7% 0.2%
Liam Walz 9.1% 9.6% 12.1% 11.7% 12.4% 14.9% 13.5% 11.7% 4.5% 0.5%
Jonathan Bailey 22.9% 18.8% 18.0% 15.3% 10.2% 8.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Christian Cyrul 19.4% 18.5% 17.3% 14.9% 13.3% 8.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Bobby Sessions 6.4% 7.2% 7.2% 8.1% 9.9% 12.4% 18.0% 18.1% 10.3% 2.4%
Erin Sullivan 11.3% 10.4% 11.4% 14.2% 12.5% 14.5% 13.0% 8.5% 3.3% 0.9%
Carl Eaton 12.4% 15.1% 15.7% 13.0% 16.7% 11.7% 8.7% 5.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Grace Hillman 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 3.6% 6.2% 16.0% 68.1%
Donny Marwin 2.5% 3.6% 3.1% 3.8% 5.3% 9.1% 14.4% 22.7% 25.6% 9.9%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 4.0% 4.4% 5.9% 8.5% 18.2% 35.3% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.