Race 2A

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonathan Bailey 26.8% 19.1% 16.4% 12.5% 10.1% 8.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Tarkan Bolat 11.9% 12.9% 15.3% 13.5% 13.7% 13.2% 10.6% 6.3% 2.5% 0.1%
Christian Cyrul 18.9% 19.3% 15.7% 14.7% 13.4% 8.7% 6.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Liam Walz 8.8% 9.1% 12.7% 13.3% 14.1% 13.0% 14.1% 10.5% 3.7% 0.7%
Erin Sullivan 10.3% 10.9% 11.2% 14.0% 12.5% 15.1% 13.1% 9.2% 2.9% 0.8%
Donny Marwin 3.4% 4.1% 3.7% 3.1% 6.6% 7.8% 12.6% 22.4% 25.3% 11.0%
Carl Eaton 12.2% 15.5% 14.8% 15.6% 13.8% 12.3% 8.8% 4.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 5.5% 10.2% 16.7% 36.2% 16.9%
Bobby Sessions 5.4% 6.6% 7.0% 8.9% 9.8% 14.8% 15.9% 19.3% 10.4% 1.9%
Grace Hillman 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 4.2% 5.9% 16.2% 68.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.