Race 3A

fall-furry

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Cyrul 21.1% 20.8% 17.0% 14.5% 11.6% 7.7% 4.9% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Liam Walz 9.2% 9.6% 13.2% 13.4% 15.8% 15.9% 13.1% 7.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Erin Sullivan 11.0% 11.6% 10.2% 13.7% 15.7% 17.8% 12.8% 5.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Jonathan Bailey 23.7% 22.9% 17.2% 17.0% 8.7% 6.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 14.4% 15.3% 16.6% 13.7% 15.3% 13.4% 7.6% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Tarkan Bolat 14.0% 13.9% 14.5% 16.4% 14.5% 12.6% 9.7% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Emma Turner 3.0% 2.6% 6.4% 5.2% 9.2% 12.3% 24.8% 22.2% 12.0% 2.3%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 4.1% 4.6% 8.4% 13.7% 27.5% 24.2% 10.5%
Grace Hillman 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 1.6% 2.2% 4.7% 11.0% 26.5% 51.0%
Patrick Sawyer 1.0% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 3.0% 3.2% 5.5% 16.3% 32.3% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.