Race 4A

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Erin Sullivan 11.0% 12.6% 12.1% 13.0% 15.4% 16.0% 11.9% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Liam Walz 9.8% 10.6% 11.2% 13.1% 15.6% 16.4% 14.2% 7.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Jonathan Bailey 24.3% 20.9% 17.8% 14.7% 11.2% 7.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 13.8% 16.0% 16.1% 15.3% 14.0% 12.8% 7.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Tarkan Bolat 13.2% 14.8% 13.7% 16.9% 14.6% 12.3% 9.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Christian Cyrul 22.1% 18.0% 19.4% 13.9% 12.7% 9.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Emma Turner 2.6% 3.3% 4.7% 7.2% 9.1% 11.9% 24.2% 22.5% 12.5% 2.0%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.6% 2.1% 3.9% 3.4% 4.6% 7.6% 14.1% 28.6% 23.3% 10.8%
Patrick Sawyer 0.9% 1.1% 0.5% 1.6% 1.4% 4.2% 6.9% 14.1% 34.3% 35.0%
Grace Hillman 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 2.3% 5.0% 12.3% 24.7% 51.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.