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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.57+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.49+2.30vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.18+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.09-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.92-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-0.43+1.79vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.26-3.30vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.67-3.11vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-1.62-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of Minnesota1.570.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Illinois1.490.1%1st Place
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5.01Grand Valley State University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Wisconsin2.090.2%1st Place
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3.4University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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7.79University of Iowa-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.3Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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5.89Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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9.29Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Eaton | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 12.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Liam Walz | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 23.4% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cyrul | 19.9% | 20.5% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 19.1% | 34.4% | 17.9% |
| Donny Marwin | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 15.6% | 24.5% | 25.0% | 9.4% |
| Erin Sullivan | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Bobby Sessions | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 1.7% |
| Grace Hillman | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 15.4% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.