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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Erin Sullivan 10.9% 11.5% 12.2% 12.4% 11.9% 14.5% 13.9% 8.2% 3.7% 0.8%
Christian Cyrul 18.9% 19.6% 15.9% 14.9% 12.7% 9.5% 5.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Jonathan Bailey 23.4% 20.2% 16.2% 14.5% 11.9% 7.9% 4.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 13.4% 14.8% 14.4% 14.9% 14.1% 11.8% 9.5% 5.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Liam Walz 9.8% 10.0% 10.1% 12.0% 14.0% 15.6% 13.2% 11.1% 3.6% 0.6%
Tarkan Bolat 14.8% 12.0% 14.4% 14.5% 13.7% 11.4% 10.6% 7.0% 1.5% 0.1%
Bobby Sessions 3.6% 6.8% 8.5% 8.5% 10.3% 13.2% 19.2% 17.5% 9.7% 2.7%
Donny Marwin 2.5% 3.1% 4.4% 4.6% 6.0% 8.9% 10.7% 23.7% 26.9% 9.2%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 2.0% 1.5% 3.5% 2.9% 3.9% 5.2% 10.0% 17.4% 35.8% 17.8%
Grace Hillman 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 6.2% 16.4% 68.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.