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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.49+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.26+1.54vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University1.18+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.09-2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.57-2.12vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.20-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.43-0.55vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-1.28-1.38vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-1.62-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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4.11University of Illinois1.490.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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4.66Grand Valley State University1.180.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Wisconsin2.090.2%1st Place
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3.88University of Minnesota1.570.2%1st Place
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6.47Marquette University0.200.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Iowa-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.62Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
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8.99Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 22.4% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Liam Walz | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 23.7% | 23.8% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 15.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 23.0% | 22.7% | 12.5% | 1.9% |
| Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 28.4% | 23.5% | 10.8% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 14.6% | 33.8% | 35.3% |
| Grace Hillman | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 24.9% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.