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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.01+8.02vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+4.21vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+2.58vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.16+4.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+3.14vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.26+1.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.57-0.98vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.73+0.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+3.57vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.52-3.85vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.48-1.16vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.84vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.13-0.44vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-4.98vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.07-10.89vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.12-4.86vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.96-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.02Tufts University1.014.2%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College1.719.6%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University2.1712.2%1st Place
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7.23Georgetown University1.867.6%1st Place
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9.29University of Pennsylvania1.164.3%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.9%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston1.266.5%1st Place
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7.02Yale University1.579.6%1st Place
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9.23Clemson University0.734.8%1st Place
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13.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.9%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University1.528.3%1st Place
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10.84Jacksonville University0.482.9%1st Place
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12.16Christopher Newport University-0.842.5%1st Place
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13.56Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.1%1st Place
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5.11Stanford University2.0713.5%1st Place
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12.14University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
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15.73University of Michigan-0.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| bella casaretto | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 14.8% |
| Marina Conde | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Laura Smith | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 15.7% |
| Lina Carper | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.5% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
| Callie Davis | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.