Race 1A

west-canada-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bryan Rust 23.0% 18.8% 15.6% 11.8% 9.5% 9.3% 6.3% 3.8% 0.8% 1.1%
Christopher Fuller 15.7% 14.9% 13.9% 15.6% 12.1% 9.2% 7.7% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2%
Evan Rankin 9.7% 10.8% 9.5% 10.8% 10.5% 15.4% 12.5% 8.4% 8.4% 4.0%
Mike Knape 8.6% 9.6% 11.2% 12.2% 11.5% 12.7% 11.0% 10.3% 8.3% 4.6%
Paul Foley 17.5% 17.4% 15.8% 13.9% 13.5% 8.0% 6.3% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
Neil Roberts 7.8% 8.0% 7.8% 8.9% 11.1% 10.2% 13.5% 11.7% 11.2% 9.8%
John Elam 3.7% 4.3% 6.7% 6.3% 8.9% 7.8% 11.0% 16.3% 15.1% 19.9%
Sara Welsh 6.2% 6.4% 8.8% 7.3% 9.7% 10.0% 11.6% 15.3% 12.7% 12.0%
Alex Dodd 3.8% 4.7% 4.4% 6.3% 6.7% 8.8% 9.5% 10.7% 21.5% 23.6%
Phoebe Gilday 4.0% 5.1% 6.3% 6.9% 6.5% 8.6% 10.6% 12.9% 16.3% 22.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.