Race 8A

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonathan Bailey 27.0% 20.8% 16.7% 14.3% 9.0% 6.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Christian Cyrul 20.0% 19.7% 17.2% 15.4% 12.2% 9.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Emma Turner 3.4% 4.1% 5.6% 6.1% 6.8% 12.7% 21.8% 25.0% 11.9% 2.6%
Carl Eaton 13.1% 15.1% 17.2% 15.6% 14.4% 13.1% 7.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Liam Walz 10.4% 10.4% 11.4% 13.0% 16.8% 16.0% 12.6% 6.9% 2.2% 0.3%
Erin Sullivan 11.1% 11.4% 12.1% 13.3% 15.3% 15.4% 14.1% 5.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Tarkan Bolat 11.7% 15.0% 14.8% 16.0% 16.3% 12.9% 9.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.8% 2.1% 3.4% 4.0% 4.6% 7.7% 15.0% 27.6% 23.7% 10.1%
Grace Hillman 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 2.4% 4.2% 11.9% 26.2% 50.8%
Patrick Sawyer 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 7.0% 14.4% 32.4% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.