← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University1.18+3.89vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.26+2.77vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota1.57+1.20vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois1.49+0.25vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame1.92-2.59vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.20vs Predicted
-
8University of Iowa-0.43-0.06vs Predicted
-
9Saint Mary's College-1.62+0.27vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University0.67-4.12vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin2.09-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89Grand Valley State University1.180.1%1st Place
-
4.77University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
-
4.2University of Minnesota1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.25University of Illinois1.490.1%1st Place
-
3.41University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
-
7.2Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.94University of Iowa-0.430.0%1st Place
-
9.27Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
-
5.88Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
-
3.19University of Wisconsin2.090.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 9.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Carl Eaton | 13.1% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 13.1% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cyrul | 20.8% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Donny Marwin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 22.9% | 26.2% | 9.5% |
| Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 19.8% | 33.7% | 18.7% |
| Grace Hillman | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 15.8% | 68.1% |
| Bobby Sessions | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 10.7% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 22.9% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.