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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.57+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.49+1.35vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.09-1.88vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.26-1.27vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University1.18-2.10vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.67-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-0.43-2.11vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-1.62-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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4.16University of Minnesota1.570.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Illinois1.490.1%1st Place
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7.28Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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3.12University of Wisconsin2.090.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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4.9Grand Valley State University1.180.1%1st Place
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5.88Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Iowa-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.29Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 23.4% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carl Eaton | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 12.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Donny Marwin | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 24.2% | 25.0% | 9.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 22.4% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Liam Walz | 7.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Bobby Sessions | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 37.1% | 17.1% |
| Grace Hillman | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 14.8% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.