Race 11A

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Erin Sullivan 11.2% 13.0% 11.7% 13.2% 15.3% 15.1% 12.7% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Carl Eaton 13.7% 14.8% 17.0% 13.8% 15.1% 13.3% 7.5% 4.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Jonathan Bailey 23.7% 21.0% 17.9% 15.1% 11.5% 6.9% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Christian Cyrul 19.5% 20.2% 18.0% 17.0% 10.5% 9.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Liam Walz 10.3% 10.7% 9.9% 15.2% 15.1% 16.8% 13.0% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Tarkan Bolat 15.1% 12.6% 16.2% 14.7% 15.4% 12.6% 9.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 4.6% 7.3% 15.8% 28.7% 25.3% 9.5%
Emma Turner 3.2% 4.1% 6.2% 6.0% 8.0% 12.0% 23.0% 23.2% 11.8% 2.5%
Grace Hillman 0.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 1.9% 2.8% 4.9% 11.0% 25.7% 51.3%
Patrick Sawyer 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 2.6% 3.3% 6.3% 16.2% 31.9% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.