Race 1B

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kevin Gallagher 34.1% 24.6% 17.0% 9.7% 8.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Skotarzak 9.5% 10.1% 14.8% 13.5% 15.7% 13.7% 15.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.0%
Clara Brown 7.8% 9.7% 8.7% 11.7% 13.2% 17.3% 20.1% 9.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 10.3% 11.8% 14.4% 15.3% 15.0% 14.8% 12.6% 5.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 16.2% 15.9% 16.8% 17.2% 13.0% 11.0% 7.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Adrienne Johnson 8.7% 10.3% 9.2% 12.1% 14.6% 16.5% 17.2% 8.9% 2.0% 0.5%
Mary Moir 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 2.8% 3.7% 5.5% 8.9% 35.8% 28.7% 11.0%
Mary Anderson 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 4.2% 15.1% 33.5% 40.6%
Bryce Hudson 0.5% 0.9% 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 3.9% 12.3% 30.3% 47.8%
Conrad Vandlik 11.9% 15.0% 16.3% 15.5% 14.0% 12.9% 9.2% 4.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.