Race 2B

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Skotarzak 11.0% 12.2% 12.4% 13.4% 12.3% 16.3% 14.2% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Kevin Gallagher 33.3% 23.9% 16.6% 13.4% 7.5% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 14.3% 16.2% 15.0% 15.1% 16.7% 11.3% 8.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Conrad Vandlik 12.1% 15.6% 15.6% 16.5% 13.8% 12.3% 10.0% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 11.5% 11.3% 14.0% 14.8% 15.9% 14.4% 11.4% 5.2% 1.4% 0.1%
Adrienne Johnson 9.6% 9.0% 10.2% 11.6% 14.0% 14.8% 19.0% 9.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Clara Brown 5.7% 10.2% 12.4% 10.3% 14.3% 17.5% 19.5% 8.0% 1.7% 0.4%
Bryce Hudson 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 2.4% 3.2% 14.8% 31.9% 44.4%
Mary Moir 1.7% 0.8% 2.3% 3.1% 3.2% 4.2% 9.4% 35.0% 28.3% 12.0%
Mary Anderson 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 3.4% 3.0% 14.6% 32.5% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.