Race 3B

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Solomon Dworsky 17.4% 16.7% 15.4% 14.4% 13.1% 11.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Conrad Vandlik 12.0% 14.2% 16.4% 15.1% 12.5% 15.1% 9.7% 4.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Clara Brown 8.0% 8.7% 9.5% 12.1% 12.6% 17.0% 20.5% 8.8% 2.6% 0.2%
Kevin Gallagher 31.9% 24.2% 19.5% 11.5% 8.0% 2.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 11.3% 11.7% 14.2% 14.7% 14.5% 14.8% 12.3% 4.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Adrienne Johnson 9.0% 9.6% 8.8% 12.6% 15.2% 15.2% 16.5% 10.4% 2.6% 0.1%
Caroline Skotarzak 8.1% 12.2% 12.4% 14.2% 16.5% 15.0% 13.7% 6.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Mary Moir 0.9% 1.5% 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 4.4% 9.3% 32.8% 27.3% 14.1%
Daniella Kyllonen 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 4.3% 16.3% 34.8% 36.7%
Mary Anderson 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 3.9% 13.0% 28.6% 48.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.