Race 4B

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kevin Gallagher 34.0% 25.5% 16.2% 10.0% 7.0% 4.5% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 10.5% 10.9% 15.9% 14.9% 12.7% 14.9% 12.7% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Conrad Vandlik 13.6% 13.6% 13.1% 15.5% 15.6% 13.4% 11.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Adrienne Johnson 6.6% 8.7% 12.4% 11.7% 15.6% 15.7% 16.9% 9.5% 2.7% 0.2%
Caroline Skotarzak 10.6% 11.4% 12.2% 12.8% 15.1% 16.4% 12.8% 6.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Solomon Dworsky 15.5% 17.1% 16.2% 16.4% 13.8% 10.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Clara Brown 7.0% 9.1% 10.6% 13.4% 13.9% 15.4% 18.7% 9.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Mary Moir 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 5.2% 8.8% 33.2% 27.4% 14.0%
Daniella Kyllonen 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 1.3% 1.4% 2.4% 4.8% 15.8% 35.2% 36.7%
Mary Anderson 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 4.0% 12.9% 28.9% 48.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.