Race 5B

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 12.3% 12.2% 15.2% 11.6% 14.5% 14.9% 12.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Kevin Gallagher 33.1% 24.4% 16.7% 12.7% 7.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 14.5% 16.3% 15.2% 16.9% 14.6% 11.1% 9.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Conrad Vandlik 12.0% 15.5% 15.8% 16.6% 13.8% 12.6% 10.0% 3.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Adrienne Johnson 9.0% 8.2% 10.3% 11.4% 14.5% 16.7% 17.5% 9.6% 2.4% 0.4%
Caroline Skotarzak 11.3% 11.1% 12.0% 13.0% 15.1% 14.2% 14.5% 7.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Clara Brown 5.8% 10.2% 11.3% 12.5% 14.2% 17.7% 17.3% 8.5% 2.4% 0.1%
Mary Anderson 0.2% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 2.3% 4.0% 15.7% 34.8% 39.2%
Bryce Hudson 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% 2.0% 3.5% 13.4% 28.9% 48.6%
Mary Moir 1.3% 1.0% 2.1% 3.7% 3.1% 4.6% 9.9% 35.0% 28.1% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.