Race 6B

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Solomon Dworsky 17.5% 16.4% 15.8% 15.3% 12.7% 10.8% 8.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Conrad Vandlik 11.9% 14.3% 15.9% 15.7% 14.7% 12.8% 10.3% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 10.4% 12.0% 12.6% 13.9% 16.0% 16.9% 12.4% 4.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Caroline Skotarzak 9.3% 9.5% 15.0% 15.1% 13.5% 16.1% 14.4% 5.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Kevin Gallagher 33.8% 25.8% 16.1% 12.0% 6.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrienne Johnson 9.1% 9.8% 9.5% 12.6% 13.4% 14.4% 19.0% 10.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Clara Brown 5.8% 10.0% 11.7% 10.7% 16.4% 16.7% 18.4% 8.0% 1.9% 0.4%
Mary Anderson 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 3.7% 16.1% 33.9% 39.7%
Mary Moir 1.5% 1.1% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 4.4% 9.5% 35.1% 29.4% 10.9%
Bryce Hudson 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 13.0% 30.2% 48.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.