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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.76+3.06vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.02+1.57vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.80+3.41vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.51+2.96vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.31+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.97-0.16vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.87-3.17vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound1.26-2.84vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.38-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound0.55-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06University of Washington1.760.2%1st Place
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3.57Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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6.41Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Victoria0.510.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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5.84University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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3.83Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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5.16University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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7.22University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 17.2% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Bryan Rust | 21.4% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sara Welsh | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 20.9% |
| Evan Rankin | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Neil Roberts | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.7% |
| Paul Foley | 16.2% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Mike Knape | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Alex Dodd | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 23.8% |
| John Elam | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.