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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.71+5.13vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+3.70vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.07+2.17vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.84+8.11vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+2.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.01+3.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+2.30vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+1.98vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.26-0.97vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College-0.13+3.54vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.52-3.89vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.12+0.33vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.16-3.77vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.57-7.09vs Predicted
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15Clemson University0.73-5.87vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.48-5.17vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.50vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.96-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Dartmouth College1.7110.7%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University2.1711.4%1st Place
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5.17Stanford University2.0712.4%1st Place
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12.11Christopher Newport University-0.842.3%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University1.868.2%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University1.014.6%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.5%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.8%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston1.265.9%1st Place
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13.54Connecticut College-0.131.5%1st Place
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7.11Old Dominion University1.528.6%1st Place
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12.33University of Rhode Island0.122.2%1st Place
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9.23University of Pennsylvania1.165.2%1st Place
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6.91Yale University1.578.6%1st Place
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9.13Clemson University0.735.5%1st Place
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10.83Jacksonville University0.483.6%1st Place
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13.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.5%1st Place
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15.63University of Michigan-0.960.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Lina Carper | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 16.7% |
| Marina Conde | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Foley | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 14.1% |
| Callie Davis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.