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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.05+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.34+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.16+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.24-1.46vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.49-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.16-1.65vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.33-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-2.88+0.94vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-2.65-1.25vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-1.93-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Wisconsin0.340.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Notre Dame1.240.3%1st Place
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3.69Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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5.27Grand Valley State University-0.330.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Iowa-2.880.0%1st Place
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8.75Michigan Technological University-2.650.0%1st Place
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7.86Saint Mary's College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Skotarzak | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Conrad Vandlik | 12.4% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clara Brown | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 33.3% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 16.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Mary Anderson | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 15.2% | 27.5% | 46.8% |
| Daniella Kyllonen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 15.7% | 33.3% | 38.5% |
| Mary Moir | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 30.4% | 29.7% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.