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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.05+3.51vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.24+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.34+1.08vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.49-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.16-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.16-1.66vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.33-2.71vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-1.93-1.17vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-2.65-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-2.88-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Notre Dame1.240.3%1st Place
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4.08University of Wisconsin0.340.1%1st Place
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3.75Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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5.29Grand Valley State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.83Saint Mary's College-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.74Michigan Technological University-2.650.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Iowa-2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Skotarzak | 11.1% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 33.9% | 23.3% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Vandlik | 12.8% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 14.5% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Clara Brown | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 4.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Mary Moir | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 32.7% | 26.8% | 14.1% |
| Daniella Kyllonen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 16.0% | 34.8% | 36.5% |
| Mary Anderson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 13.2% | 28.5% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.