Race 9B

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Conrad Vandlik 14.5% 14.8% 14.9% 14.5% 14.8% 12.1% 9.6% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Solomon Dworsky 14.0% 16.7% 18.0% 15.8% 13.6% 11.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 10.5% 11.9% 12.5% 13.6% 15.7% 16.9% 12.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Caroline Skotarzak 9.3% 9.3% 14.8% 15.5% 13.1% 16.5% 14.6% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Kevin Gallagher 33.9% 25.7% 16.3% 12.0% 6.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Clara Brown 9.8% 8.7% 9.8% 12.5% 12.9% 14.9% 19.3% 10.1% 1.9% 0.1%
Adrienne Johnson 6.0% 9.6% 10.9% 11.6% 16.8% 15.5% 18.9% 8.3% 1.8% 0.6%
Mary Moir 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 3.0% 3.5% 5.6% 8.9% 36.8% 26.2% 11.3%
Mary Anderson 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 3.5% 14.6% 35.4% 40.5%
Bryce Hudson 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.7% 1.9% 3.3% 13.3% 30.6% 47.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.