Race 10B

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Skotarzak 10.7% 13.0% 11.9% 12.1% 14.4% 15.7% 14.7% 6.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Clara Brown 8.3% 7.2% 11.9% 11.8% 13.3% 17.0% 17.6% 10.3% 2.4% 0.2%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 11.2% 11.7% 12.4% 14.6% 14.6% 14.8% 14.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Adrienne Johnson 7.4% 9.4% 10.3% 12.8% 15.4% 16.9% 16.8% 8.9% 1.9% 0.2%
Conrad Vandlik 12.9% 15.3% 14.8% 16.1% 13.2% 12.3% 10.9% 3.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Kevin Gallagher 32.9% 24.3% 17.5% 12.8% 7.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 15.0% 15.7% 17.5% 16.1% 14.3% 12.1% 6.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Mary Moir 1.0% 1.6% 2.5% 2.3% 4.6% 3.7% 10.6% 36.5% 26.1% 11.1%
Bryce Hudson 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 2.7% 13.4% 32.3% 46.3%
Mary Anderson 0.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.5% 2.7% 4.3% 13.6% 33.6% 42.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.