Race 11B

fall-furry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kevin Gallagher 34.8% 24.3% 15.8% 10.8% 7.0% 4.6% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Brown 7.8% 7.8% 11.4% 12.6% 13.6% 16.3% 17.3% 9.7% 3.3% 0.2%
Caroline Skotarzak 9.8% 11.0% 12.2% 10.7% 16.2% 16.1% 16.3% 5.7% 1.9% 0.1%
Conrad Vandlik 11.2% 15.6% 16.5% 16.1% 13.4% 12.4% 10.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Solomon Dworsky 15.5% 16.4% 15.7% 18.0% 13.0% 11.4% 6.6% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 11.5% 12.5% 13.1% 14.7% 15.2% 13.5% 12.5% 6.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Adrienne Johnson 6.9% 8.9% 11.9% 11.7% 15.7% 15.1% 18.3% 8.9% 2.0% 0.6%
Mary Moir 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.6% 2.7% 5.7% 8.9% 32.1% 28.7% 13.2%
Mary Anderson 0.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 3.4% 13.4% 30.0% 47.3%
Daniella Kyllonen 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 17.4% 32.1% 38.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.