← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.06+6.93vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.15+5.75vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.12+4.95vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.81+5.18vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.97+3.28vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.93-0.78vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.35+0.09vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.72-2.28vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.33vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.93-1.48vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.61-0.99vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.31-1.07vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.92vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.23-2.64vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.82-2.47vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.09-7.90vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.93Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.75Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
7.95Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.18Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
-
8.28Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.22Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.09Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
5.72Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.52University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
10.01Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.93Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
11.36University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
-
12.53Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
-
8.1Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
16.68Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Christian Filter | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 1.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Nash | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 1.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 30.2% | 3.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 89.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.