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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.92vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+5.90vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+5.14vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.31+6.95vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+2.63vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.97+2.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.98vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-1.07vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-3.11vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.23+1.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-2.17vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-3.77vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-5.18vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-2.48vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.09-7.94vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.95Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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12.52Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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16.69Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 17.1% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 1.6% |
| Emily Haig | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 0.6% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 30.4% | 4.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 90.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.