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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+6.95vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+5.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.10vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+2.82vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+4.05vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82+5.49vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-2.30vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31+2.12vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-2.04vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-2.36vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-2.92vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-5.81vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-5.21vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.15-7.17vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.23-4.71vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.1Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.49Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.7Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.19Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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16.69Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 0.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 26.7% | 4.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 2.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 1.4% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 90.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.