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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+8.67vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.28vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+5.15vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.97+4.58vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+2.67vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+2.12vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35+0.08vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.31+2.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.84vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81-1.01vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-2.71vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.72-6.22vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-1.61vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.93-8.79vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-6.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-3.37vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.08Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.72Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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5.78Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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5.21Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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12.63Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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16.68Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 0.6% |
| Emily Haig | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 1.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.4% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 3.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 28.3% | 4.2% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 89.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.