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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.77vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.31+8.90vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+3.08vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+3.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+4.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-1.28vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09-0.11vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-0.89vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.15-2.31vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.46vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-3.82vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-4.19vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.81-4.75vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.23-3.76vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-3.40vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.9Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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5.07Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.08Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.72Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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16.7Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 0.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 2.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 27.9% | 4.3% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 89.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.