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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+4.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+4.08vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.57+3.94vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+3.20vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.26+2.97vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52+1.25vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+3.02vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.73+1.18vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.84+3.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-0.76vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.07-5.86vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.85vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.48-2.00vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-1.51vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.47vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.96-0.69vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.01-7.89vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College-0.13-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Harvard University2.1712.6%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College1.7111.4%1st Place
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6.94Yale University1.578.8%1st Place
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7.2Georgetown University1.867.8%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston1.266.7%1st Place
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7.25Old Dominion University1.526.8%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.832.9%1st Place
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9.18Clemson University0.734.6%1st Place
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12.24Christopher Newport University-0.841.8%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.7%1st Place
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5.14Stanford University2.0714.3%1st Place
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9.15University of Pennsylvania1.164.8%1st Place
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11.0Jacksonville University0.482.5%1st Place
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12.49University of Rhode Island0.121.8%1st Place
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13.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.7%1st Place
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15.31University of Michigan-0.960.8%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University1.014.9%1st Place
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13.57Connecticut College-0.131.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 8.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 16.2% |
| Callie Davis | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 42.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.