← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.76+3.08vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University2.02+1.57vs Predicted
-
3University of Puget Sound1.26+2.33vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.87-0.16vs Predicted
-
5University of British Columbia0.97+0.86vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.80-0.75vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria1.31-2.89vs Predicted
-
9University of Victoria0.51-2.13vs Predicted
-
10University of British Columbia0.38-2.81vs Predicted
-
11University of Puget Sound0.55-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.08University of Washington1.760.2%1st Place
-
3.57Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
-
5.33University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
-
3.84Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
-
5.86University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
-
6.25Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
-
5.11University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
-
6.87University of Victoria0.510.0%1st Place
-
7.19University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
-
6.91University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 17.4% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Bryan Rust | 20.9% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mike Knape | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Paul Foley | 16.9% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Neil Roberts | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
| Sara Welsh | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 12.9% |
| Evan Rankin | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 19.7% |
| Alex Dodd | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 24.0% |
| John Elam | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.