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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+6.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+6.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+4.81vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.23+7.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+3.30vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+2.17vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.81+2.15vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12-0.24vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-1.72vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-2.12vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93-2.18vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.93-6.89vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.72-7.13vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.31-2.86vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-5.14vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-3.40vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.3Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.17Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.11Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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5.87Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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16.68Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 1.7% |
| Christian Filter | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.1% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 27.5% | 4.7% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 90.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.