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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+6.97vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.29vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+4.09vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+1.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+4.66vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+2.13vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.01vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97+0.34vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15-1.01vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.72-4.29vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93-2.20vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-2.94vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82-0.32vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.31-2.88vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.09-6.98vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.23-4.71vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.15Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.06Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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12.68Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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16.69Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 28.8% | 5.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 1.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.8% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 1.0% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 89.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.