← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.61+8.60vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.06+6.04vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.81+6.07vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.15+3.87vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+2.84vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.62vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.35+0.10vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.93+0.47vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.23+2.44vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.12-2.13vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University3.09-2.74vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.93-6.88vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.97-4.36vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.72-8.14vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.82-2.52vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.31-4.96vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.6Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
8.04Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
9.07Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.87Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
7.1Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.47University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.44University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
-
7.87Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.26Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
5.12Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
8.64Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.86Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
12.48Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
-
11.04Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
16.68Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 2.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.0% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 29.8% | 4.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 1.0% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 4.8% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.